Keter spare parts hinges

Here Are Rockstar's Alleged Remaining Grand Theft Auto 6 Leaked Game Maps

2023.04.01 06:29 StepwiseUndrape574 Here Are Rockstar's Alleged Remaining Grand Theft Auto 6 Leaked Game Maps

GTA 6 rumors seem to be popping up and disappearing just as quickly, like the recent news about Rockstar hiring game testers for GTA 6 or any other game the company is working on. Since 2018, it seems that the new map, or at least part of it, may have been leaked online, giving us a glimpse into GTA 6 and what it will look like.
Over the last couple of years, four images have been leaked, showing what appears to be a map with a larger landmass with smaller surrounding islands. Reports are that the first image showed an incomplete overview of the map, with the larger island having some things drawn in while other islands were entirely drawn in. The newest leak fills out the missing portion of the larger island, but there is not much to see here spare for an airport, and a major roadway, it seems. You can see the oldest and more recent image below.
earliest gta 6 map possibly leaked online The earliest leaked map image
gta 6 map The most recent map
Though these leaks seem to track with other rumors we have heard, they most certainly need to be taken with a grain of salt. They have been released over the last year by anonymous sources on 4Chan and some of the content there can be considered dubious at best. On the other hand, the city on the main island looks vaguely like Vice City, which we have heard is the main area for GTA 6.
Whatever the case may be, Rockstar has been incredibly silent, and this will not likely change. Hopefully, we will get some signal or head nod, at least, saying that GTA 6 is on the horizon rather than the stoic silence we have gotten so far, though. Either way, stay tuned to HotHardware as we provide updates on the mounting news surrounding GTA 6.
submitted by StepwiseUndrape574 to gta5moddingcommunity [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 06:17 Correct_Ambition4678 Akito Chīmu

Akito is the youngest member of the Chīmu family. His cursed technique is called Aoi honō which means blue flames because the ability allows you to create and control blue flames. Just like his brother and sisters, his cursed technique and physical attributes are strong but he has no cursed domain.
Appearance: unlike his two brothers, Akito has dark brown hair and not black, besides their appearance, three are very similar.
Aoi honō
This ability allows you to create and control blue flames to a certain extent. This is a technique based on Marco from one piece.
Fire fist: this ability engulfs your hands in blue flames which can either be used to heat up your punches or to shoot out a stream of fire.
Fire bullets: this ability puts flames on your middle and index fingers which can be shot off like bullet.
Flame jump: before the user jumps, they put a bunch of the blue flames on their feet. When they jump, the blue flames propel them up for a little bit.
Flame cannon: the technique fire a giant fireball like thing form your foot or feet. This ability is different from the others because it is partially solid and doesn’t actually burn the enemy but just hits them.
Shikigami: the user can also create a shikigami made of flames. This shikigami is a phoenix and is manly used transportation and fire fireballs from above. The phoenix can come one with the user to travel but they can’t use any other abilities when doing this.
Maximum: the user spins around spawning a bunch of flames then shoots them out to form a flame tornado which can be controlled for a short period of time.
Cursed weapon: Cursed kusarigama
This cursed weapon is actually made from a curse and uses there technique. These weapons were made when my Akito said he would spare the curses life if they formed a binding vow. The binding vow is once again very year, the curse can choose to fight my oc. This battle happens in his mind so time stops but every injury or sickness he has carry’s into it. If Akito wins, he continues to use him as a weapon but if the curse wins, either my oc becomes a weapon or he allows the curse to kill him. The cursed technique allows the user to control wind to a certain degree and increases his fire powers.
Wind slices: He uses it to make slices out of wind that can either be quick small slices or giant slices.
Binding: the user raps the enemy with the Chan in which traps them.
Regeneration: sense the weapon is made from a curse, it can regenerate damage.
Whirlwind: the oc spins their kusarigamas which pulls the enemy to them.
Tornado: the user spins their kusarigama above their head which create a tornado around the user.
Wind bullet: by throwing the ball and cannon part of it, it create a wind bullet which is a medium speed.
submitted by Correct_Ambition4678 to CTsandbox [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 06:04 cursedevidence treating large pores (1mo, 30mg)

howdy gang. I was wondering how many of you have also dealt with larger clogged pores/blackheads while on accutane and how you've treated it. from searching the sub it sounds like it's not an uncommon symptom and some people said they shrink back down after a few months, but I was wondering if there are any safe ways to tackle it now since I'm super self conscious of my strawberry nose and cheeks and forehead :( my pores were already kinda large but they've definitely gotten bigger despite my skin being less oily now.
prior to accutane I've tried salicylic acid (.5-2%), niacinamide (2-10%), and oil cleansing, none of which seemed to do anything to my pores. I still oil cleanse to help with flaky skin/removing sunscreen and my derm said I could use salicylic acid sparingly, which I've been doing. i apply some aquaphor at night, I'm going to apply less just in case it's part of the problem.
thanks for any help <3 tho I'll say now i don't have the funds for anything crazy lol. my acne has subsided a lot already but the blackhead sitch has got my dermatillomania wildin again!!
submitted by cursedevidence to Accutane [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 06:03 mostoriginalname2 I’m going to write “Anti-production and Words” inspired by D&G

It will be a book in two parts; “Whites Only” and “Blacks Only.”
Whites Only will be hundreds of blank pages, reflecting whiteness back upon the reader.
Blacks Only will be “words” over and over for hundreds of pages in black text. Thus reflecting the experience both internally and externally faced by black individuals.
In the light of Anti-oedipus this book will perfectly encapsulate “Anti-Production and Words,” for all of time. Standing as both the most and least useful and explanatory work of Philosophy ever or never written.
My genius will flow on throughout the space time continuum in all directions; and the entire multiverse of human existence will not be spared my brilliance.
Prove me wrong. Good night Metaphysics. Mic drop.
submitted by mostoriginalname2 to Metaphysics [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 05:50 h2ogal Help me help myself?

I have a few long tours this summer including a week long solo off road trip.
I have no experience with making repairs and no real tools or spare parts. I am an older woman, not particularly handy or strong but willing to learn.
I want be able to make common emergency repairs and know how to check for damage and to maintain my bike while touring.
I also want to put together a little emergency kit I can carry around with me.
I will be riding a trek Allant ebike.
Where would you suggest that I start.
I have never even repaired a flat tire so we’re talking Basic.
submitted by h2ogal to bikepacking [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 05:43 Hefty_Security_4753 Throbbing, burning pain. Help is appreciated

23M. Recently, I've been experiencing a weird throbbing pain on two very specific parts of my body: the back of my head and my right jaw hinge. The pain feels like the pain you get when you get sunburnt, except it is not constant and comes and goes every few seconds/minutes. Its neither a sharp pain nor a dull ache, but rather a "burning" sensation that pulses once then goes away.
The pain feels superficial - it does not feel like it comes from deep within the body but rather on the surface/skin. Im suspecting it's some kind of nerve damage.
What could this be?
submitted by Hefty_Security_4753 to AskDocs [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 05:13 lowkeybanned Im wanting to build my own NAS unit

I dont have much knowledge about what a NAS exactly is, what I do know is that I will be able to access files, from any computer or device whenever I have internet? Which is exactly what I need, as i work on multiple devices weekly for work & school, and it would be a blessing to just put a ton of files 'somewhere' I could easily access daily, download and upload to. (These are a lot of different files, something like Google Drive would not cut it for me.)

The reason I want to build my own is because: 1. I currently dont have/want to spend $1000 for a unit that fits my needs. 2. I have a ton of spare computer parts that I have access to.
The "small" amount of research I did told me that its almost basically building a computer. I have experience in that. So I wanted to know what would I exactly need to make this? And what do you guys recommend?
The parts I have access to are: GPU's: RTX2070 - RTX3070, RX5500XT - RX5600XT - RX5700XT, RX6600 (i'd rather use a cheap one) CPU's: Some old intel pentium cpus PSU's: Corsair RM850X MOBO's: some decent mobos, but compatible with the intel cpu's
Do you guys have any suggestions, do I not need to use an expensive gpu, or not use one at all if the mobo has integrated graphics, what are the benefits or downsides about both options?
Im still clueless, Im still going to do a ton of research about it but I wanted to know what reddit thinks, and maybe help me get the ball rolling.
submitted by lowkeybanned to buildapc [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 05:00 AutoModerator Motorcycle parts online - Best Motorcycle parts online - Weels and more Saudi Arabia

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submitted by AutoModerator to weelsandmore [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 04:54 Dismal-Jellyfish Federal Reserve Alert! Governor Christopher J. Waller in speech 'The Unstable Phillips Curve': "When Central Bank promises are credible, the Phillips curve should be relatively flat. Since January 2022, the Phillips curve is essentially vertical."

Federal Reserve Alert! Governor Christopher J. Waller in speech 'The Unstable Phillips Curve':
Good evening and Happy Friday Superstonk, resident jellyfish back with this interesting nugget. Let's get to it!
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher J. Waller At the Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy, a conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, San Francisco, California
Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/waller20230331a.htm

Highlights:

The Phillips curve:

  • A relationship between price or wage inflation and some measure of economic slack.
  • Has been the foundation of monetary policy for decades.
  • A common way to estimate it is to look at output price inflation and the unemployment rate.
  • One theory, or story, is that as aggregate demand increases, labor demand will increase as well.
  • As a result, prices of goods and services will rise and firms will hire more workers, as long as there is some stickiness in nominal wages.
  • Consequently, this story implies that the unemployment rate will fall.
  • So, there is a negative relationship between price inflation and unemployment.

New Keynesian model:

  • Another story/theory that monopolistically competitive firms set prices for some period of time.
  • Firms may have "sticky prices" because of menu costs.
  • Firms face costs to adjust their prices and so choose to reset their prices only when the benefits outweigh the costs.
  • Because firms are not identical, only a share of firms adjust their prices each period.
  • So, when aggregate demand increases, firms with set prices agree to supply the goods demanded at their current prices.
  • Firms that find it worthwhile to adjust their prices will increase their prices.
  • As a result, inflation will arise from the firms that adjusted their prices.
  • Meanwhile, higher employment will come from the sticky price firms, and, implicitly, higher employment goes along with lower unemployment.
  • Once again, we obtain a negative relationship between output price inflation and unemployment.
  • The slope of this relationship hinges on the fraction of firms adjusting their prices in response to the aggregate demand shock.
  • Put another way, the frequency of price changes determines the slope of the Phillips curve.

In both these stories, expectations of future inflation play a critical role:

  • In the sticky nominal wage story, workers will seek to maintain their real wages by setting their wage demands based on what they think future inflation will be.
  • In the New Keynesian model, firms set their output prices based on what they think aggregate price inflation will be in the future, and how often and at what pace they expect to change prices.
  • Regardless of whether you think nominal wages are sticky or output prices are sticky, inflation expectations play a critical role in how unemployment responds to changes in the inflation rate.

This explanation is all about the short run:

  • In either model, in the long run, nominal rigidities, or stickiness, disappear and expectations of inflation converge to trend inflation.
  • As a result, in most models of nominal rigidities the long-run Phillips curve is vertical.

What do economic data tell us about this relationship?

  • We all know that if you simply plot inflation against the unemployment rate over the past 50 years, you get a blob.
  • There does not appear to be any statistically significant correlation between the two series.
  • In the 1980s and 1990s, so-called freshwater macroeconomists, who tended to work at universities in the middle of the country, argued the data showed that stories about nominal wage or price stickiness were simply wrong and we should quit talking about Phillips curves of any type.
  • Diehard believers in the Phillips curve, the saltwater economists working on the East and West coasts, argued that the data blob was the result of unstable inflation expectations.
  • If inflation expectations were not stable, then the Phillips curve would shift around in such a way that you could not observe the true relationship in the data.

What would cause inflation expectations to be unstable?

  • Kydland and Prescott (1977) provided an explanation, later popularized by Barro and Gordon (1983), that blamed the central bank.
  • If the central bank's promises to keep inflation low were not credible, then private agents' inflation expectations would be different than what the central bank promised, which in turn would cause the Phillips curve to shift around.
  • As a result, the idea that the central bank had to make credible promises to keep inflation low became a bedrock principle of central banking that holds to this day.
  • Inflation targeting provided a framework for making promises of low inflation credible, and since the late 1990s it has proved to be very successful in practice.
  • With a central bank strongly committed to inflation targeting, promises to keep inflation at 2 percent are credible in large part because the central bank is observed taking action to keep it near 2 percent, regardless of what is happening to the unemployment rate.
  • When these promises are credible, the Phillips curve should be relatively flat.

What have we seen in the data?

2000-2019 (stable):

The Phillips curve was very flat for the 20-plus years before the pandemic, consistent with the story that the Federal Reserve was credible at keeping inflation low.

Data for 2021: The Phillips curve suddenly looked relatively steep:

The Phillips curve suddenly looked relatively steep. That is, the labor market became extremely tight as the U.S. economy emerged from pandemic lockdowns.

What Changed? Inflation!!!

  • In the spring of 2021, after more than a decade of hibernation, inflation came roaring back to life.
  • Inflation increased each month of the year and was running at more than double the Fed's 2 percent target throughout the latter half of 2021.
  • Meanwhile, unemployment fell quite rapidly in 2021, from 6.3 percent at the start of the year to 3.9 percent in December, which was surprising given the long, slow recoveries after recent recessions.
  • Based on the flatness of the Phillips curve in recent decades, some commentators argued that unemployment would have to rise dramatically to bring inflation back down to 2 percent.
  • Others argued that, based on analysis of the Beveridge curve, inflation could be brought down without a significant rise in unemployment, although this conjecture was not without controversy.

Since January 2022, the Phillips curve is essentially vertical:

The unemployment rate has hovered around 3.6 percent, and inflation has varied from 7 percent (in June) to 5.3 percent (in December).

What happened to the Phillips curve that it is acting so differently now than in the pre-pandemic period? 3 trains of thought:

  1. Freshwater macroeconomists
  2. One theory, or story, is that as aggregate demand increases, labor demand will increase as well.
  3. Another story/theory (New Keynesian) that monopolistically competitive firms set prices for some period of time.

1.Freshwater macroeconomists

Would once again argue that this difference shows the Phillips curve is a statistical anomaly and should not be used as a foundational element guiding monetary policy.

2. As aggregate demand increases, labor demand will increase as well relies on inflation expectations becoming unanchored and causing the short-run Phillips curve to shift around:

https://preview.redd.it/34v34bjwp6ra1.png?width=765&format=png&auto=webp&s=db39bdc581f28f67a463f8c24fd91472d1f5c978
  • There is a vertical long-run Phillips curve anchored at U*, which is the rate of unemployment that occurs in the absence of price stickiness, and realized inflation is equal to inflation expectations.
  • And there is a downward sloping short-run Phillips curve that shows a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment due to some nominal price or wage stickiness in the economy.
  • The short-run Phillips curve assumes a given level of inflation expectations. If inflation expectations increase, the short-run Phillips curve shifts up.
  • So, if inflation expectations have increased in recent history, we would move from a lower to a higher Phillips curve, as shown by the vertical shift up in the dots.
  • These shifting dots generate what, on the surface, looks like an essentially vertical Phillips curve, thereby matching the 2022 data.

3. New Keynesian Phillips curve where there is a sudden increase in the frequency of price changes:

https://preview.redd.it/m8kcn1ioq6ra1.png?width=687&format=png&auto=webp&s=b7255c8306a271981926c4f01c1e5302f496b5d6
  • The slope of the Phillips curve is determined by the frequency of price changes—the more often prices change, the steeper is the Phillips curve.
  • An increase in the frequency of price changes steepens the short-run Phillips curve even if inflation expectations are well anchored at 2 percent.
  • If in recent years the frequency of price changes has increased, we would move from a flatter to a steeper short-run Phillips curve.
  • On the surface, moving from the blue to red dot, it again looks like an essentially vertical Phillips curve, but just as in the first story, the data are showing us points on different Phillips curves.

What does this suggest about the relationship between inflation and labor market slack and the implications for monetary policy?

Two charts on inflation expectations from the Federal Reserve's March 2023 Monetary Policy Report.
  • The charts show that the behavior of inflation expectations depends on the data one uses to measure those expectations.
  • The left panel reports survey-based measures, while the right panel captures market-based inflation expectations over a variety of time horizons.
  • On the left, we see that shorter-run inflation expectations followed observed inflation up and down in recent years, with a notable increase in 2021 before reversing course in 2022 and into early 2023.
  • But inflation expectations over a longer horizon remained within the range of values seen in the years before the pandemic and appear broadly consistent with the FOMC's longer-run 2 percent inflation objective.
  • Similarly, in the right panel, market-based measures of longer-term inflation compensation are also broadly in line with readings seen in the years before the pandemic.
  • So, overall, measures of longer-term inflation expectations have remained contained, while shorter-term expectations had moved up in 2021 and have partially reversed their earlier increases.
  • These data suggest that changes in inflation can be associated with an unanchoring of inflation expectations if we believe price-setting behavior is influenced by changes in shorter-term inflation expectations.

Data on the frequency of output price changes in 2021 and 2022:

Preliminary work by Montag and Villar Vallenas (2023) uses U.S. Consumer Price Index micro-data to examine about 90,000 individual prices each month and determines if there was a change and, if so, was the change an increase or decrease.
  • The monthly price change frequency (the black line) increased from about 10 percent of the sample in 2019 to around 20 percent by the end of 2021 and held around that level in 2022.
  • The increase in price change frequency is primarily driven by firms upwardly adjusting their prices (the red dashed line) during this period.
  • Furthermore, anecdotal evidence shows that firms were quicker to change prices over 2021-22 than they were in the previous decade.
  • So, hard and soft data suggest that the frequency of price changes is contributing to what looks like a steep Phillips curve in recent years.

What does this analysis mean for monetary policy makers?

  • If unanchored inflation expectations were driving what looks like a shifting Phillips curve, this would be extremely problematic for central bankers because it could require dramatic actions by the FOMC to lower inflation expectations to shift the Phillips curve back down.
  • In current circumstances, one would need to believe it is shorter-term expectations that matter for price setters.
  • If this belief is true, Waller takes some comfort in the fact that short-term inflation expectations have moved down reasonably fast over the past year.
  • However, Waller is not sure how much weight to put on this story.
  • The higher-frequency-of-price-changes story is a more encouraging guide for central bankers.
  • A steep Phillips curve means inflation can be brought down quickly with relatively little pain in terms of higher unemployment.
  • Recent data are consistent with this story.

TLDRS:

  • The Phillips curve: a relationship between price or wage inflation and some measure of economic slack.
  • Has been the foundation of monetary policy for decades.
  • One theory, or story, is that as aggregate demand increases, labor demand will increase as well.
  • Another story/theory that monopolistically competitive firms set prices for some period of time.
  • Regardless of whether you think nominal wages are sticky or output prices are sticky, inflation expectations play a critical role in how unemployment responds to changes in the inflation rate.
  • When Central Bank promises are credible, the Phillips curve should be relatively flat. Since January 2022, the Phillips curve is essentially vertical.
  • If unanchored inflation expectations were driving what looks like a shifting Phillips curve, this would be extremely problematic for central bankers because it could require dramatic actions by the FOMC to lower inflation expectations to shift the Phillips curve back down.
https://preview.redd.it/9mzhofcys6ra1.png?width=610&format=png&auto=webp&s=fadf68c3c3c05205e1aa683d97534b92506394e6

Full Speech:

Thank you, Sylvain, and thank you to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco for inviting me to speak tonight. After listening to many dinner speakers through the years, I am well aware that after the entrees are served, no one wants to hear someone blabber for 45 minutes. So, I will try to keep this short to leave enough time for a robust discussion afterward, which I hope my remarks will generate.
My topic tonight is "The Unstable Phillips Curve."1 This is not intended to be a deep academic analysis but rather to present some thoughts for discussion. I know that I am walking into the Phillips curve lion's den, given the number of researchers in the Bay Area who work on Phillips curve estimation. But in my current job, I am used to people disagreeing with me.
The Phillips curve, a relationship between price or wage inflation and some measure of economic slack, has been the foundation of monetary policy for decades. A common way to estimate it is to look at output price inflation and the unemployment rate. One theory, or story, is that as aggregate demand increases, labor demand will increase as well. As a result, prices of goods and services will rise and firms will hire more workers, as long as there is some stickiness in nominal wages. Consequently, this story implies that the unemployment rate will fall. So, there is a negative relationship between price inflation and unemployment.
Another story, based on the New Keynesian model, is that monopolistically competitive firms set prices for some period of time. Firms may have "sticky prices" because of menu costs. That is, firms face costs to adjust their prices and so choose to reset their prices only when the benefits outweigh the costs. Because firms are not identical, only a share of firms adjust their prices each period. So, when aggregate demand increases, firms with set prices agree to supply the goods demanded at their current prices. Firms that find it worthwhile to adjust their prices will increase their prices. As a result, inflation will arise from the firms that adjusted their prices. Meanwhile, higher employment will come from the sticky price firms, and, implicitly, higher employment goes along with lower unemployment. Once again, we obtain a negative relationship between output price inflation and unemployment. The slope of this relationship hinges on the fraction of firms adjusting their prices in response to the aggregate demand shock. Put another way, the frequency of price changes determines the slope of the Phillips curve.
In both these stories, expectations of future inflation play a critical role. In the sticky nominal wage story, workers will seek to maintain their real wages by setting their wage demands based on what they think future inflation will be. In the New Keynesian model, firms set their output prices based on what they think aggregate price inflation will be in the future, and how often and at what pace they expect to change prices. Regardless of whether you think nominal wages are sticky or output prices are sticky, inflation expectations play a critical role in how unemployment responds to changes in the inflation rate.
This explanation is all about the short run. In either model, in the long run, nominal rigidities, or stickiness, disappear and expectations of inflation converge to trend inflation. As a result, in most models of nominal rigidities the long-run Phillips curve is vertical.2
What do economic data tell us about this relationship? We all know that if you simply plot inflation against the unemployment rate over the past 50 years, you get a blob. There does not appear to be any statistically significant correlation between the two series. In the 1980s and 1990s, so-called freshwater macroeconomists, who tended to work at universities in the middle of the country, argued the data showed that stories about nominal wage or price stickiness were simply wrong and we should quit talking about Phillips curves of any type. Diehard believers in the Phillips curve, the saltwater economists working on the East and West coasts, argued that the data blob was the result of unstable inflation expectations. If inflation expectations were not stable, then the Phillips curve would shift around in such a way that you could not observe the true relationship in the data.
What would cause inflation expectations to be unstable? Kydland and Prescott (1977) provided an explanation, later popularized by Barro and Gordon (1983), that blamed the central bank. If the central bank's promises to keep inflation low were not credible, then private agents' inflation expectations would be different than what the central bank promised, which in turn would cause the Phillips curve to shift around. As a result, the idea that the central bank had to make credible promises to keep inflation low became a bedrock principle of central banking that holds to this day.
Inflation targeting provided a framework for making promises of low inflation credible, and since the late 1990s it has proved to be very successful in practice. With a central bank strongly committed to inflation targeting, promises to keep inflation at 2 percent are credible in large part because the central bank is observed taking action to keep it near 2 percent, regardless of what is happening to the unemployment rate. When these promises are credible, the Phillips curve should be relatively flat.
What have we seen in the recent data? Let's consider a Phillips curve based on the price index for personal consumption expenditures, which is the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) preferred measure. As shown in figure 1, the Phillips curve was very flat for the 20-plus years before the pandemic, consistent with the story that the Federal Reserve was credible at keeping inflation low.3
Then in the spring of 2021, after more than a decade of hibernation, inflation came roaring back to life. As the economy recovered from the pandemic shutdowns, inflation increased each month of the year and was running at more than double the Fed's 2 percent target throughout the latter half of 2021. Meanwhile, unemployment fell quite rapidly in 2021, from 6.3 percent at the start of the year to 3.9 percent in December, which was surprising given the long, slow recoveries after recent recessions. Based on the flatness of the Phillips curve in recent decades, some commentators argued that unemployment would have to rise dramatically to bring inflation back down to 2 percent. Others argued that, based on analysis of the Beveridge curve, inflation could be brought down without a significant rise in unemployment, although this conjecture was not without controversy.4
But considering the data for 2021, as shown in figure 2, the Phillips curve suddenly looked relatively steep. That is, the labor market became extremely tight as the U.S. economy emerged from pandemic lockdowns. Figure 3 shows that since January 2022, the Phillips curve is essentially vertical: The unemployment rate has hovered around 3.6 percent, and inflation has varied from 7 percent (in June) to 5.3 percent (in December).
The recent experience raises the question: What happened to the Phillips curve that it is acting so differently now than in the pre-pandemic period? Freshwater macroeconomists would once again argue that this difference shows the Phillips curve is a statistical anomaly and should not be used as a foundational element guiding monetary policy. Having grown up in the profession surrounded by freshwater macroeconomists, I am very sympathetic to this argument.
But setting that view aside for now, let's consider the two other possible stories I've mentioned to explain the data. The first story relies on inflation expectations becoming unanchored and causing the short-run Phillips curve to shift around. This theory is illustrated in figure 4. There is a vertical long-run Phillips curve anchored at U*, which is the rate of unemployment that occurs in the absence of price stickiness, and realized inflation is equal to inflation expectations. And there is a downward sloping short-run Phillips curve that shows a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment due to some nominal price or wage stickiness in the economy. The short-run Phillips curve assumes a given level of inflation expectations. If inflation expectations increase, the short-run Phillips curve shifts up. So, if inflation expectations have increased in recent history, we would move from a lower to a higher Phillips curve, as shown by the vertical shift up in the dots. These shifting dots generate what, on the surface, looks like an essentially vertical Phillips curve, thereby matching the 2022 data.
The second possible explanation follows from the New Keynesian Phillips curve where there is a sudden increase in the frequency of price changes.5 In that model, the slope of the Phillips curve is determined by the frequency of price changes—the more often prices change, the steeper is the Phillips curve. This dynamic is illustrated in figure 5. An increase in the frequency of price changes steepens the short-run Phillips curve even if inflation expectations are well anchored at 2 percent. If in recent years the frequency of price changes has increased, we would move from a flatter to a steeper short-run Phillips curve. On the surface, moving from the blue to red dot, it again looks like an essentially vertical Phillips curve, but just as in the first story, the data are showing us points on different Phillips curves.
What does this suggest about the relationship between inflation and labor market slack and the implications for monetary policy? The answer depends on data about inflation expectations and the frequency of output price changes. Let's look at each of these factors.
Figure 6 reproduces two charts on inflation expectations from the Federal Reserve's March 2023 Monetary Policy Report.6 The charts show that the behavior of inflation expectations depends on the data one uses to measure those expectations.7 The left panel reports survey-based measures, while the right panel captures market-based inflation expectations over a variety of time horizons.
On the left, we see that shorter-run inflation expectations followed observed inflation up and down in recent years, with a notable increase in 2021 before reversing course in 2022 and into early 2023. But inflation expectations over a longer horizon remained within the range of values seen in the years before the pandemic and appear broadly consistent with the FOMC's longer-run 2 percent inflation objective. Similarly, in the right panel, market-based measures of longer-term inflation compensation are also broadly in line with readings seen in the years before the pandemic. So, overall, measures of longer-term inflation expectations have remained contained, while shorter-term expectations had moved up in 2021 and have partially reversed their earlier increases. These data suggest that changes in inflation can be associated with an unanchoring of inflation expectations if we believe price-setting behavior is influenced by changes in shorter-term inflation expectations.
Let's now look at the data on the frequency of output price changes in 2021 and 2022. Preliminary work by Montag and Villar Vallenas (2023) uses U.S. Consumer Price Index micro-data to examine about 90,000 individual prices each month and determines if there was a change and, if so, was the change an increase or decrease. Figure 7 summarizes their findings. The monthly price change frequency (the black line) increased from about 10 percent of the sample in 2019 to around 20 percent by the end of 2021 and held around that level in 2022. The increase in price change frequency is primarily driven by firms upwardly adjusting their prices (the red dashed line) during this period. Furthermore, anecdotal evidence I have received from market contacts is consistent with the view that firms were quicker to change prices over 2021-22 than they were in the previous decade. So, hard and soft data suggest that the frequency of price changes is contributing to what looks like a steep Phillips curve in recent years.
Other than providing for a fun academic discussion, what does this analysis mean for monetary policy makers? If unanchored inflation expectations were driving what looks like a shifting Phillips curve, this would be extremely problematic for central bankers because it could require dramatic actions by the FOMC to lower inflation expectations to shift the Phillips curve back down. In current circumstances, one would need to believe it is shorter-term expectations that matter for price setters. If this belief is true, I take some comfort in the fact that short-term inflation expectations have moved down reasonably fast over the past year. However, I am not sure how much weight to put on this story.
The higher-frequency-of-price-changes story is a more encouraging guide for central bankers. A steep Phillips curve means inflation can be brought down quickly with relatively little pain in terms of higher unemployment. Recent data are consistent with this story.
To conclude, it may not surprise you all that I like story number two a lot better. But we will need more data to conclude which story is right—which is what a data-dependent central bank does to implement appropriate monetary policy. With that, I will stop talking, and I look forward to a robust discussion with lots of good arguments telling me I am wrong.
submitted by Dismal-Jellyfish to Superstonk [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 04:34 StepwiseUndrape574 Here Are Rockstar's Alleged Remaining Grand Theft Auto 6 Leaked Game Maps

GTA 6 rumors seem to be popping up and disappearing just as quickly, like the recent news about Rockstar hiring game testers for GTA 6 or any other game the company is working on. Since 2018, it seems that the new map, or at least part of it, may have been leaked online, giving us a glimpse into GTA 6 and what it will look like.
Over the last couple of years, four images have been leaked, showing what appears to be a map with a larger landmass with smaller surrounding islands. Reports are that the first image showed an incomplete overview of the map, with the larger island having some things drawn in while other islands were entirely drawn in. The newest leak fills out the missing portion of the larger island, but there is not much to see here spare for an airport, and a major roadway, it seems. You can see the oldest and more recent image below.
earliest gta 6 map possibly leaked online The earliest leaked map image
gta 6 map The most recent map
Though these leaks seem to track with other rumors we have heard, they most certainly need to be taken with a grain of salt. They have been released over the last year by anonymous sources on 4Chan and some of the content there can be considered dubious at best. On the other hand, the city on the main island looks vaguely like Vice City, which we have heard is the main area for GTA 6.
Whatever the case may be, Rockstar has been incredibly silent, and this will not likely change. Hopefully, we will get some signal or head nod, at least, saying that GTA 6 is on the horizon rather than the stoic silence we have gotten so far, though. Either way, stay tuned to HotHardware as we provide updates on the mounting news surrounding GTA 6.
submitted by StepwiseUndrape574 to gta5moddedvehicles_ [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 04:28 chrisz2012 Finished hanging my tools

Finished hanging my tools
Made everything from a spare 80-inch shelf we had in the house. We replaced it with new a new laminated particle board shelf, so I decided to make some shelves and tool hangers.
I cut the shelving using a $60 corded Skil Circular Saw for the longer cuts. I cut the notches for the hangers with a Black & Decker jigsaw I borrowed from my friend’s Dad. I used my $100 Metabo 10-inch Metabo Miter saw to square away the shelving.
I used wood screws to hang everything.
The top shelf has $2 shelf brackets from Home Depot, so the top shelf cost me $4 in parts.
My Sawzall I hung with $2.20 hooks from Everbilt I bought from Home Depot.
submitted by chrisz2012 to BeginnerWoodWorking [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 04:15 Irons_Jesse Two trees TTS-25

Two trees TTS-25
I just got a two trees tts-25. And I'm very new to the laser cutting community. I got it from an Amazon returns auction, and it's missing the two parts in the picture. The magnetic light filter, and the "multiscale positioning column" can someone tell me what the positioning column does? And maybe help me replace them? I'm not having any luck with the support because I didn't purchase from two trees, and I can't seem to find anywhere to buy spare parts for either component.
TlDR; Got an auction laser. Missing these parts. Help.
submitted by Irons_Jesse to lasercutting [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 04:10 CeeNee93 How to ask for exclusivity? Or keep dating others?

I (29F) have been talking to a guy from Hinge for almost a month. Our first date was 3 weeks ago, and we’ve hung out 5 times in total. He has more casual dating experience, and I’m very new to the apps. I get that it’s normal now to date multiple people, and we addressed this early on. He said at some point if things are going well, we’d agree to deactivate Hinge. He also said he’d been on 1 other first date after his first with me- possible there have been more. However, we text a bit each day and 5 dates over 3 weeks doesn’t leave a whole lot of time to see other people (we are both busy).
There’s another 1st date on the table for me. Part of me wants to go on it just to see, and because the guy I have been out with could be keeping options open. However, I also feel that if him and I have a good 6th date, I’d like to date be exclusive. I feel upset when I think about him dating others, and I also feel if at this point he’s actively dating others, then he doesn’t see anything serious with me.
I guess I’m wondering how I go about asking him for exclusivity? Or am I getting too ahead of myself and should date others myself?
Thanks Reddit!
submitted by CeeNee93 to hingeapp [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 04:04 Weak_Abbreviations22 $500 later

$500 later
Finally updated my old Byrdo fight stick thanks to the help of this sub. Appreciate all the input and tips/tricks that people in here were able to give.
Upgraded old ps1 pad hack pcb to brooks UFB-UP5
Added neutrik adapter Added additional buttons on the side Added turbo function Sanwa obsc
Lastly, I’ll need to add LEDs to light the buttons underneath with some momentary buttons to control the LEDs somewhere along the sides.
In total this whole project costed me just over $500 CAD, a lot more expensive than what I was expecting but this was going to be the one and only time I do this so I went all out and spared no parts.
submitted by Weak_Abbreviations22 to fightsticks [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:50 StepwiseUndrape574 Here Are Rockstar's Alleged Remaining Grand Theft Auto 6 Leaked Game Maps

GTA 6 rumors seem to be popping up and disappearing just as quickly, like the recent news about Rockstar hiring game testers for GTA 6 or any other game the company is working on. Since 2018, it seems that the new map, or at least part of it, may have been leaked online, giving us a glimpse into GTA 6 and what it will look like.
Over the last couple of years, four images have been leaked, showing what appears to be a map with a larger landmass with smaller surrounding islands. Reports are that the first image showed an incomplete overview of the map, with the larger island having some things drawn in while other islands were entirely drawn in. The newest leak fills out the missing portion of the larger island, but there is not much to see here spare for an airport, and a major roadway, it seems. You can see the oldest and more recent image below.
earliest gta 6 map possibly leaked online The earliest leaked map image
gta 6 map The most recent map
Though these leaks seem to track with other rumors we have heard, they most certainly need to be taken with a grain of salt. They have been released over the last year by anonymous sources on 4Chan and some of the content there can be considered dubious at best. On the other hand, the city on the main island looks vaguely like Vice City, which we have heard is the main area for GTA 6.
Whatever the case may be, Rockstar has been incredibly silent, and this will not likely change. Hopefully, we will get some signal or head nod, at least, saying that GTA 6 is on the horizon rather than the stoic silence we have gotten so far, though. Either way, stay tuned to HotHardware as we provide updates on the mounting news surrounding GTA 6.
submitted by StepwiseUndrape574 to gta5moddedvehicles_ [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:37 gts250gamer101 Looking for a good way to stream games to boyfriend's PC while he is away.

Title says it all.
My boyfriend is living at his parents' home at the moment, and doesn't have the room for a desktop computer. He's got a Surface laptop, which is great for the schoolwork he needs but not nearly enough power for games.
We recently built him a PC with some spare parts that I had, and it runs great. It's got an i7-3820, 16GB RAM, and an RX 570. The problem is, when he's at home and we want to play a game together, it's impossible given the fact that both machines are at my house.
I know there are options with Steam to stream games to other PCs connected to your network, but is there something similar that would allow him to stream games from the PC here to his laptop at home?
submitted by gts250gamer101 to pcmasterrace [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:31 RafflesiaArnoldii Reactivity II: Specific Difficulty, Specific Reaction


Welcome to today’s episode of ‘I read Enneagram Literature so you don’t have to’.
So, last time we discussed reactivity, it was in terms of symptoms and triggers – what causes it, how it looks like for each type.
This time we’re going to try looking at it at a somewhat deeper level, trying to glipmse what’s ‘underneath’ the reaction, and underneath that, down to the very root.
There is this idea that for every type there is a particular way that they parse pain, adversity and disconnection, a particular cascade or complex of emotions that tends to be set off (that, in some individuals, may be buried quite a bit under the surface) – this is called the ‘specific difficulty’, which then leads to the specific reaction, how the person characteristically responds to adversity, the ostensibly visible outward behavior – furthermore, the particular way that the adversity is interpreted, what one feels in response, and how one then reacts (having one interpretation, feeling, response etc. and not others) may be grounded in particular assumptions or perceptions. (Almaas would say, ‘delusions’ deriving from the absence of the holy ideas)
It’s repeatedly emphasized that since the ideas are all synonymous, to “lose” one is to lose all and so we would all have these experiences and reactions sometimes so long as we are subject to “egoic existence” -
But there’s one reaction that particularly tends to be your go-to reaction when things don’t go your way.
As some variants of the theory goes, this “specific reaction”, or at least some simpler, pre-verbal, implicit version of this, would also have been your reaction as a baby when your needs weren’t being met, or possibly even what you were feeling the very moment you realized you were a separate person different from your mother and the rest of the world, and that this then formed the basis for your separate self-concept.
Or, if you believe in that sort of thing, it would rather have been the moment you got disconnected from the universal consciousness and subcumbed to the illusion of being a separate being.
It is worth nothing that if it is your concept of you getting distinguished from your concept of the universe, it could well feel like being cut off from a state of oneness, the same way that the reverse experience of everything becoming one can reportedly happen during meditation or drug trips, with or without any supernatural or metaphysical elements involved.
But even as a purely psychological postulation it is of course highly speculative, perhaps best seen as a metaphor, summary or just-so story, an image describing a subjective feeling.
However, the notion that we tend to whatever adversity and pain you happen to encounter differently and in consistent ways based on our mode of perception and the specific biases of it is something that may highly check out or that I’d find interesting to explore, as I’ve always been fascinated by the idea of how your viewpoint can influence what you see and the way that people’s reactions, responses, feelings and choices can differ under adversity.
At very least, I’ll have to grant this Mr. Almaas that he is clearly an intelligent, well-read person familiar with a great variety of spiritual traditions from around the world and astute insight into people’s reactions and feelings, which is particularly apparent in the way that he skillfully anticipates the reader’s emotional torque and always has a nice little term for it.
(Frankly, I smell INFJ. All this “subtler spiritual world beneath everything” is very Ni.)
It is clear that he got this Wisdom from much introspecting & discussing his meditation experiences with other spiritual seekers.
If I did not by chance happen to have the particular background that I do and this very particular collection of whimsically gathered facts rattling around inside my head, he might have converted me.
Whether we agree with his conclusions & what the lens and what is seen, he seems to have fine perceptions on the human psyche so hypothetics about babies & universal soul aside, his sharpness on anticipating & discerning feelings may lead one to at least entertain his notions with regard to the emotions of adults.
Be that as it may, I will now simply attempt to convey the concept for your consideration.

Type 1

The response here is to judge that there must be something wrong. The unsatisfactory something in the environment is simply incorrect, not how it should be.
So the feeling reaction can be angry frustration at the thing not being how it ought, whether that is something external or yourself, including for some a more or less buried sense that you, too are ‘wrong’ and in need of improvement, or at least of civilizing & control so you stay ‘right’. Some unhappier 1s can present with a deep sense of unworthyness & how they’re ‘the worst’.
Note that, in contrast to some of the other complexes, the idea that “some parts are wrong” also implies that some parts are right & that this is discernible to you.
The reaction to this, then, tends to be either improvement or justification.
Improvement is straightforward – you try to fix the thing that’s wrong. It’s almost a reflex to bring it up or even immediately go & fix it. The error will tend to (as a result, 1s or even 1 fixers can be spotted by a tendency to repeatedly bring up nitpicks or complaints that bother them)
This is where some of the compulsive action-like quality or tendency toward action as cope comes from, but likely also action-orientedness in a positive sense, (“if no ones gonna fix it I will”)
This impulse to fix is also applied to oneself, so 1s can be the kinds of people who are always looking to grow & improve themselves.
The other side of the coin is justification, responding to the feeling of ‘wrongness’ by arguieing & proving that you are, in fact, right, arguing that your way is the best & the other person might be wrong, or that you’re not wrong fir wanting something because you’re going about it the ‘right’ way.
The underlying assumption that needs to be there for this response to make sense is that some things are better than others, that things are comparable, that it’s possible for some parts of something to e right and for others to be wrong, for some to perfect and others imperfect. (and this is where Almaas would wax poetically to you about the intrinsic Holy Perfection of all things that is also the intrinsic intuitive intelligence of the universe & yadda yadda)
Certainly there may be some over-perception of what’s binary, or even just linear unitarian and rankable, meaning, it can be boiled down to a single number, so that there is a clear unambiguous “better or worse” to everything – some things may be incomparable apples and oranges, or there may be different equally good options, or a tradeoff depending on priorities.
However, I think most of us would agree that there is an universal better or worse for some things at least – starving children, for example.

Type 2

So for 2, the fundamental response to things not going your way is a sense of impotent humiliation, feeling personally slighted or humbled, but also dispensable, uneeded and unimportant.
Think of the classic example of the person who is dejected over the 1 person who didn’t like their presentation, or who has a hard time not taking it as personal rejection if their help is declined.
2s tend to implicitly assume that they should be able to make everyone like them so when that isn’t the case it can be felt as humiliation or shame, but particularly the kind of shame where you feel irrelevant, like the ‘No thank you’ means ‘You’re not needed or important we can do just fine without you’.
The reaction then is described as wilfulness, actively making sure that things go your way, in particular, that you get the responses you want from others. You put yourself in a good light, you go out of your way to make a connection, you ingratiate yourself,
In the extreme this can lead to meddlesomeness, like intruding in situations youre not really a part of to make sure they go your way. Like the classic mistake where the step-parent tries too hard to force a blended family & gets pissed off when the stepkids keep mementos of their bio parent or want to do things with just their full siblings. “why are you excluding me/your half-siblings, I just want us all to be a happy family” but then by trying too hard to force it they just antagonize the step kids. But letting it grow organically entails the possibility that you might be disliked or rejected and then feel powerless & shamed again.
The underlying assumption you need to make for this interpretation of things to make sense is that you have a separate will that can be frustrated & aren’t part of an great universal motion that is already making everything happen & taking care of everything… sigh.
2s can certainly come off as both overperceiving how much it’s all up to them (“They need me, if I don’t solve all their problems who will? My shitty boyfriend will die without me”) and as overly forcing matters in ways that can seem pushy, ingratiating or even manipulative, & it is true that you wouldn’t feel humiliated or impotent if you didn’t think it was up to you, because if the other person just chose differently, why should you be ashamed if they refused your offer? It wouldnt mean youre unimportant, just that they’re not in the mood for, say, your cookies today.
Though, when I think of all the 2s that are charity workers or doing thankless hard work in caretaking professions, I am kind of grateful that they didn’t leave it up to the “benevolence of the universe” but rightly perceived the need for somebody to fucking care - Soup kitchens & nursing departments are alledgedly chock full of ‘em. So I’d say it’s an issue of right perception.
The esoterics would say that the charity workers helping is of course part of the universal will, but that smells like catholicism, “everything bad is you everything good is god”, thats no way to live.
(Funfact: You won’t believe how uneccesarily Freudian this was in the book. Just kept referring to it as “humiliated castration”.)

Type 3

Here, the response to something not going your way is to feel that you have failed. You should have been able to do this without a problem, but there’s a problem, so you didn’t do it right.
Please note the difference to 2, that, though it’s kinda similar, the point here is not that you feel personally humbled, but that you did the thing wrong, and therefore your pain could be remedied by doing the thing better. It’s your doing that was the problem.
So there is a self-judgement entailed here: You weren’t good enough, but good enough in the sense of “not competent enough”, not morally or method wise, like with 1.
The reaction, then, is also different: Striving and activity. You think what happened is you did it wrong, so you must do it better, do more, keep doing.
This is why 3 is one of those types that get antsy when they sit idle for too long.
The striving itself & desire to become-through-doing may actually be more fundamental that even the desire for success, praise or attention (which are external marker by which to measure the striving, that you’re doing it right) – because, as soon as the 3 has cleared one goal, they quickly think of another.
You also sometimes hear 3s or 3 fixers say that when someone says they’re not X they take it as a pointer that they should be more X. Not being X is seen as a failure, & the response is to strive to be more X.
This is underlied by the assumption that you are a separate doer, you’re an agent appart from the “universal flow”, you are a someone who can do something.
If you didn’t see what happens as potentially under the control & depending on your actions,
Sigh.
I will never understand ppl who find the idea that they have no agency comforting. Proactivity & not waiting for shit to fall in your hands is IMHO one of the best qualities you can have in life.
I honestly admire this quality, as someone who’s shot themselves in the foot so much by assuming it’s all pointless & my actions don’t matter.
That said, the grain of truth here may be that 3s overestimate what is within their ability & then judge themselves by those too-high estimations. Like thinking they must win everything or work so hard it breaks their body, that you always can & should do more & it’s not ok to have limits – or that limits are the same as having failed. Your body having limits is not your failure, did you design it? Did you invent humans? No, evolution fucked that one up (universal benevolence my arse) so you did not fail.

Type 4

So, when a 4 is met with things not going so peachy or events they do not like, the go-to response is to feel disconnected, cast-out, stranged – lost in the wild or left out in the rain.
This can be a disconnection from oneself, or from what is divine, sublime, meaningful or spiritual, from whatever it is that matters, whatever you’d find at the end of the rainbow, whatever you’d hope to find inside that castle from Utena.* That which shines. The Power of Miracles. Something Eternal. The blue flower. The unicorn in the garden.
And not only are you separated from it, you feel like it is unreachable, or you are unreachable to it, that you are far from heaven -
As you might expect, if you’re away from that, you’re left in a sad and mournful state, longing for what can never come back, or what you can’t seem to find, what seems distant to you.
You see the world as a sad burnt-out cadaver from which the light has gone, and you don’t get how everyone else seems to walk through this place as if nothing is wrong. Maybe you envy them, or you disdain them, or you think they must just be dumb and simple but whatever the specifics it seems unlikely that you can have a rapport with them.
One might think of Herman Hesse’s descriptions of his youth where he saw his mother & sisters as existing in “the light world” and himself as being aware of a realm of darkness.
So what reaction can you possibly have to it? The book is deliberately out to humble you by calling it “control” & I see how it means that & how, in the worst cases, that absolutely applies, though it’s gonna make ppl imagine the wrong thing. It’s not control like a control freaks who tells you what to do, in its more benign manifestations you might call it creation. Trying to make your own meaning, if divinity seems far away, in being deliberate about how you exist, putting thought & choice in little choices like what makeup to wear or what option to pick, relating it to something within you, seeking the sublime wherever it may be.
Though you can certainly call it control when it gets into trying to craft how you will be seen & responded to. Correcting ideas and perceptions you don’t want as misunderstandings might be thought of as a kind of control.
That thing when your relationship is stalling out & you cause some drama or suddenly have this fantasy of running away with a casual acquaintance is a kind of control. Inflicting pain onto yourself so at least you know when the stab comes is a kind of control. Chosing which negatives to show so they don’t focus on the really raw spots is a kind of control. Making your pain into something pretty is a way of mastering it.
In extreme cases, stuff like self-harm or anorexia can be control.
“If all else fails, I myself have power to die”, as one famous 4 (Shakespeare) has Juliet say. She destroys herself before they can force her to marry Paris, which seemed to her the only way to take control over her destiny and stay true to what was important and meaningful to her, & in the end its all an accusation to the parents: What a crappy world you made, that the only way to be free was to die.
The assumption, of course, that you need to make to conclude that you can be “cut off”, is that you have your own separate identity and nature, that people and things have separate natures at all and aren’t all part of god & the same divine origin.
So the world can’t be a dead abandoned carcass devoid of divinity if it is all divinity & there is no distinction between divine and not divine. Or: You can’t be cut off from yourself because you are the universe / part of the body of god.
Note that the point here is not so much the idea that you are separate at all, (that’s rather associated with 5) but that you have a separate nature. (for example, divine or not)
He uses the mataphor of air in a baloon, and the lack of Holy Transparency is the idea that there is a baloon, whereas the lack of Holy Origin is the idea that the air in your baloon has some particular smell or color different from the other baloons.
There’s a funny little moment in the book where Almaas writes that if you could have separate natures that mean, in his thinking, that you came from separate origins/gods and “that cannot be, because then there would be ultimate division, and if there was ultimate division, spiritual work would be totally pointless”. It’s a nice, satisfying glipmse at what keeps him up at night, or at least what last remnants of fear even he couldn’t yet train himself out of.
There are of course spiritual beliefs that include ultimate distinction, such as Zoroastrianism and mainstream Christianity (which, as its factually practiced, is often more dualist than monotheist – there is good & bad, everything good comes from god & everything bad comes from the devil. There isn’t really a devil in Judaism, and the Islamic devil has a very different, much smaller role)
I’d also like him to define ‘ultimate’ for me. Cause he’s like, “yeah things are different but those differences are not ultimate”. Certainly you can turn reality so that it all being off the same stuff can be said in a way that it’s technically correct. It’s all excitations in quantum fields. You can also turn it so that really nothing really touches. What makes one of those ways of looking at it ‘ultimate’?
Cause, the idea of difference doesn’t come cause someone woke up on day & decide they’re more special than u but from a mode of perception where contrasts & differences are emphasized.
Who says that it’s not the difference that it’s real and the unity that’s illusory?
Or maybe both are just hopelessly biased lenses reflecting our inability to see reality other than through the flawed architecture of our wrinkly meat-computers & we don’t know what the effin world looks like.
That said, I have heard some 4s reporting that a turning point in their life was when it occurred to them to try and find traces of, or connections to the sublime & the beautiful in their everyday surroundings.
If you kneejerk assume what’s meaningful is ‘out there’, you might miss it when it’s in front of you. You might not want to define the meaningful & real (or yourself) too narrowly.
Though this is probably possible without immediately throwing all taste and discernment overboard.
It’s not a question of convincing yourself the shitty boring thing is actually great, but of being willing to see what genuinely is connected or relevant to what you personally consider meaningful – which is obviously going to differ by the individual.
For me personally – well, this is obviously not a ‘layer’ that I can always be conscious of all the time, but when you consider all the complicated biological machinery, mental mechanisms & particular experieces that make someone up, how incredibly unlikely it is to be sentient beings clinging to the surface of this little bubble, then that seemingly boring rando suddenly looks very different. I’m still going to prefer what I personally find interesting & resonant cause I gotta pick something and I only have 24 hours in a day so probably not gonna be friends with the boring rando and im still going to complain about everything that sucks because somebody should, but, its a difference if I see the random guy as boring to me subjectively, though technically a rare sentient creature of stardust, that if I see him as objectively a part of and a symbol for the lesser light-forsaken rot that consumes everything.
It’s probably going to change how I treat him.
I don’t think the rot is an illusion at all, so even if I believed in spirituality I would a more chaotic world than Almaas’s all-benevolent one, but even the carcass of rot is again just one perspective, even if its my ‘home base’ perspective. Some stuff is probably also good even if it’s not all stuff.

Type 5

So, you are a type 5 just minding your business, and then something goes really sideways. What’s your most likely response?
The text labels the experience as ‘deficient isolation’.
Basically a sense of being small, weak, frail, not enough, empty, impoverished, insubstantial and separated from all else as if by thick impenetrable walls or an insurmountable gulf across which any understanding is dubious at best.
You are stuck in a confusing place that you can’t make any sense of; Existence is understood as a rather flimsy, fragile, barely-there something; life as a laborious torment where one must constantly hold oneself up – and limited and insufficient as you are, you are absolutely not up to the task. You might sit there frozen in dread when you contemplate the insurmountable hurdles that you will be expected to cross.
If you understand your situation like that, there is only one reaction you can possibly have. You’re hopelessly outmatched, and only a fool would play when they cannot win.
Therefore the kneejerk response when something gets difficult is always to get away, to run, to hide away, to break off contact, to avoid it or avoid having to deal with it, to give it a wide, wide berth, to put some distance between yourself and the adversity in whatever way you can, if not by literally leaving then by finding something to preoccupy yourself with so that you have to experience as little of it as you can get away with.
Sometimes you see the tendency to retreated or the interests portrayed as some kind of preparation with the eventual goal to return, but that’s a misunderstanding; While individuals might research some things in advance before doing them that’s more a question of bracing to endure it.
The pursuits aren’t preparation for anything; They’re just what you have instead of what people would generally consider a life, somewhere to exist, something to fill your consciousness with.
There is not generally any great intention to ‘come back’ or do anything else of realistic practical nature.
I recall reading about an instance where Franz Kafka was asked something like, “So you don’t write to publish?” and his answer was, “No, I just do this to prove to myself that I am not altogether stupid.” Indeed a lot of what he produced only saw the light of day after his death.
So, that pretty much summarizes it.
Now, according to the perspective espoused in that book none of this makes sense, as it is based on the assumption that you are a separate being, separate from others, separate from the universe, separate from god, separate from everything – otherwise, it would not make sense to try and get away from the world, since that’s quite impossible if you are one with it.
Nor would it make sense to feel cut off or walled off in the first place; Your sense of experiencing yourself as flimsy is simply a consequence of defining yourself too narrowly and trying to exist on your own apart from god or the universe which you are irrevocably tied to, so you’d feel much more substantial and confident acting in the universe as just another part of it.
(Here we are treated to a ministry of truth esque rant about how real indepence is actually independence from the idea of wanting to be independent. That perfect independence is impossible may well be, same as there is no perfect anything; But you’re not going to get me to buy that total determinism is a good thing. Illusion or not, I still have the subjective experience of having to choose something I can’t just sit and wait for the universe to pick something. )
I get that technically all is made up of atoms & it is only our perception that divides it into discrete objects, and that there isn’t really a way to get away from reality if everything is reality.
I get that very well actually as I understand precisely how quickly my perceived intactness as an emergent system would be ended by the likes of worms, botflies or a bunch of stray shrapnel penetrating my silly little skull. Even a restricted little parcel of reality is full of inescapable awfulness.
That doesn’t change that people are separate from each other in the sense that they cannot read minds.
No one can really know anyone’s elses thoughts & feelings; Lots of ppl just don’t notice because they’re better at guessing other ppl’s contents than I am, but that doesn’t change that it remains a guess. A guess that often leads to presumptuous and cruel behavior whenever they don’t understand someone.
I think being aware of & respecting the differences between you & others is the beginning of all respect, and realizing that you don’t fucking “just know” and not everything is obvious is the first step to wisdom. What can you find out if you don’t think there is anything to find?
Reserving judgement when there’s not enough info to tell anything should be held up as a virtue.
That said, it certainly is true – and I have alas experienced the proof in this particular pudding for myself – that type 5 individuals tend to rate their abilities to sustain effort, endure stimulus, master unfamiliar situations and make themselves comprehensible to others as somewhat worse than it actually is.
One supposes that this works rather by the same principle as how a little child might come to avoid anything to do with ball games with a rather stronger aversion than is strictly merited after having been whacked in the face with a ball once too many.
Sometimes one can somewhat exposure-therapy onself into tolerating stuff if one can persist past the initial aversion.
Though this is quite different from the sometimes espoused claim that the limitations are completely illusory; Making sure to stay in the stretch zone rather than the panic zone and coming up with some system of concrete steps where even small increments constitute some progress (as something you can hold against the sense that its all a futile pointless waste) is actually a huge part of not quitting, in my experience, though I cannot be said to have it figured out by far.

Type 6

So the type 6 response to adversity tends to be a state of fearful insecurity.
You feel exposed, abandoned and scared of whatever might be coming at you from the outside world, but at the same time, you don’t trust yourself to be able to handle what might be coming at you.
You may wish that someone would hold you or comfort you, but at the same time, you doubt that this is really possible to obtain such comfort. Whatever help anybody offers you smells of self-serving reasons. But you don’t trust your own intentions either, your own thoughts, feelings and intuitions are suspect as well. You fear that you might have an ugly, monstrous nature deep down inside.
With nothing certain to rely on either within or without, you feel touchy, on-edge, confrontational, volatile.
You often hear the metaphor of balancing along an edge or lacking solid ground under your feet.
I’s wager that it’s probably the exact emotion described in Papa Roach’s “Gettin away with murder” or Linkin Park’s “One Step closer”.
The reaction, then, if you feel threatened, is to be on guard. To respond with heightened alertness & vigilance & stand ready to apply one of the four Fs as required.
The other types all more or less default to one or two of the responses, but 6s runs the whole gamut probably because they are the most in touch with their natural alarm responses.
They often have a level of heightened lartness going on, it doesn’t take much to set off a response, and they may often default to responsding with defensive suspicion and hostility when something goes wrong. A part of this suspicion is a kind of exaggerated scepticism that ends up testing things again & again even after they have been confirmed for the bajillionth time.
They try to guess what others are up to, but they are also suspicious and vigilant with regards to themselves, & may be inclined to beat themselves up or fear making mistakes.
The assumption you need to make for this fear to even make sense is that the world is dangerous, that is, that the world, and all the humans that are part of it including yourself, aren’t intrinsically good. If you knew it was intrinsically good, you would just trust it without fear, suspicion or defensive aggression, as you would just trust that whatever happens is for the best.
(I kid you not.)
This is equated with not recognizing that essence or divinity exists or the assumption that ego is all there is, with thinking that, for example, your parents aren’t being nice to you out of pure good but because they have reasons/causes such as obligation.
Here we get the obligatory esoteric riffing on ‘overly rationalistic’ worldviews, though Almaas distinguishes that lacking Holy Faith is not per se equivalent with not believing in god, as it is possible to be an atheist and still believe in the good in humanity.
He explains, however, that this faith is to come from direct experience of essence & the divine & not from belief, in that usual manner that spiritual types conveniently exempt themselves & their cherished spiritual experiences from the problem of perception.
Now, 6s probably notice more danger than the rest of us because they look for it. I can’t count the times that my sisters (who are 6s) alerted my mom or I that we were about to spill, drop or break something we were totally oblivious about. They did not imagine that, we did spill the darn sauce. The world is not so intrinsically good as to magically avoid food waste.
Unless we’re dealing with a very immature or downright paranoid individual, the dangers are often actually there.
At the same time, this looking for it can create an overemphasis or bias since they don’t look for not dangerous, perfectly fine, rainbow sparkly things.
It has also happened often that my sisters were fretting & nervous about an exam & worried if they would pass at all, and then they got an A or B on it, a discrepancy that can probably be explained by failing to feature in positive information.
Your noggin tracks negatives for free, which is already half the world (yay!), but it might pay & get you a more accurate picture if you make some conscious effort to notice good stuff also.

Type 7

When confronted with all things pear-shaped, the response, at least on the most immediate level, is to feel disoriented and lost.
Later on there might be this entire chain reaction involving mounting anxiety, restlessness and a whole lot of copium, but when the blow first connects, the answer is ‘What now? What do I do? Where do I go from here?’
Whatever happened was not what you expected or thought it would be. Maybe a door you had counted on staying open has now closed. Or maybe you’re just hurting and you don’t know what to do about it.
The reaction to this, then, is to think of something to do. To direct your own experience of life, either externally, by making plans and packing your day full of enjoyable experiences and thereby ensuring that you will not only have everything you need but also having plenty of extra options to spare, or internally, by thinking of an idea of what you want to be like and trying to nudge your feelings in a positive direction by thinking of reasons why things aren’t so bad.
Either you think up some solution to your problems, or you explain the problems away wholesale. Maybe all it takes is a little perspective shift.
Naturally this desire to direct your own experience might bring you into conflict with or friction against those who may want to restrict your freedom or limit your opinions, so another way of directing your experience is thinking of ways to charm or outfox them.
This might sound rather similar to the 4 reaction (perhaps accounting for some of the similarity between the types) but while the 4s control response is about knowing when & why the blow is coming, the 7s direction has a particular, optimal outcome in mind: You want the plan to ensure that you get what you want.
The assumption underlying this, as Almaas would have it, is that you can direct your life and have an independent plan for yourself.
You can’t, since there is only the one, godly plan – and in this he explictly includes the work of self-developement and how it cant be forced along some plan, goal or timeline and must simply be allowed to happen.
To this you might have a similar reply as the type 7 musician Tori Amos: ‘If the divine plan is perfection, maybe next I’ll give Judas a try’. She wrote that song while she was coping with the grief about a miscarriage.
The universe, if it makes sense to anthropomize it like this at all, frankly doesn’t know what the frick it’s doing.
There is probably some partial truth in that 7s can sometimes feel aimless or appear that way to others, or be over-focussed on maximizing their experience to a point where it may get in the way of taking it in.
I too would, to some extent, explain the reaction in terms of the 7s way of seeing the world – being aware of all the options both for what you can do & what you can be, that you would in theory have the potential to go/do be all those things, so how do you pick?
In a way, having a vivid imagination and being able to appreciate the potential in all the options makes this harder, cause you know many of them might be equally good… but there is only finite time, other limits that make it so you cant have them all, which you would also be well-aware of, and that’s where the fear comes in.
So you might end up flitting from option to option without fully squeezing the juice of any.
And if there’s no particular reason to pick one over the other, it can seem like it doesn’t matter which one you pick, like it’s all basically pointless and arbitrary.
As it was said in that one Doctor Who minisode, “If you turn the universe into your backyard, that’s all you have: A backyard.” The characters of Rick Sanchez or the Joker might be another example 7 brand of nihilism at its most destructive.
If it is all the same and nothing matters, there is really nothing else to do but to see how you can extract the most pleasure from whatever’s available.
In modern works the metaphor of infinite parallel universes is often used; In his own day, Goethe depicted his protagonist Faust as getting a second life by magic after considering his first one unhappily wasted & then trying his hand at many different pursuits, often leaving everything in ruins as a result of his selfishness, and yet it is the very tendency to strive for the ideal that is his saving grace in the end.
That being said, given how your average 7 sets themselves to experience & learn a lot more than the general population, I wouldn’t say the aim to plan & ensure that you have a quality experience here on earth is futile – I could stand to have more of that myself.
Just be mindful of the earthly limitations that apply – you cannot always direct everything to the better, sometimes bad stuff just happens, and sometimes you might be happier if you just yourself enjoy what is there rather than thinking how it could be better.
submitted by RafflesiaArnoldii to Enneagram [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:18 Divinity_in_wait The lay of the land so far

This has been a pet project of mine pursued in my free time when I can spare it mainly, however I have decided to take the leap and finally bring it into the wider world. At the moment this post shall serve as a to-do list of things that need happening to make all this a reality. In rough-ish order of importance. First thing first is leadership.
In order to form a legal church (recognized by the government and granted the abilities and functions of one in society), one must form a board to oversee it from a legal standpoint. This is mainly a paperwork issue but one unavoidable in the grand scheme of things. Three people are needed in total; The president, leading the board. The secretary, who keeps notes during board meetings and the Treasurer, who keeps an eye on the funds (in a nutshell). I plan to be the President as I am leading this operation, however I need those two other board members!
As a non-profit, you will not be paid. (Work is voluntary, as is the nature of a non-profit) but it will not demand too much of your daily time. If you think you can do it, you know someone who can do it, or want to know more, do not hesitate to contact me for an interview, I will be posting more in depth on these roles individually later. The board would then be responsible for crafting the by-laws of the church that form the legal backbone, basically the rules to follow regarding staying ethical, how and when to spend money, the overall legal hierarchy and such.
Once this is done, the next step is to form/define the overall religious hierarchy, name our holy texts and define how we ordain our priests and priestesses. Such matters can be sourced not just by the legal leaders but by the community at large, as even though we will have a central and public location, we will also in time be able to ordain those abroad to spread the word on their own time and in their own community. If and when we get to this point this is your chance to contribute in many many different ways.
This is where I will stop for now, as while there is more steps beyond this (And if I tried to list them all here I'd be here all day), this is by and large the biggest step we have to make to see this through
However, I will address this now so to make it clear. In any part of this do not feel obligated to give any money. If you wish to donate at any point, you can feel free. However I (and most likely the church) will never require tithing or anything like it. We will need funds initially to file with the gov, however I do not believe in extortion, nor that requiring money to participate in religion is in anyway ethical.

That being said, I hope to see this community grow, and I hope to see my personal dream become a reality.
submitted by Divinity_in_wait to TempleOfAphroditeIndy [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:18 OnTheEdgeOfFreedom Proposal: definitions, a sticky, and some flairs, for doomsday

I realize this is pointless, but I’d like to propose we enshrine some definitions in a sticky so people might stop misusing terms and confusing other people. I’m talking specifically about doomsday conversations here.
I’m proposing this because I keep seeing things like “In a collapse, how can I stay in touch with loved ones across the country”, which makes it obvious to me that people think that collapse just means the internet goes out for a few months but they can still buy batteries for their radios.
I’m going to toss out some proposed definitions. This is in increasing order of severity.
Tuesday: big blizzard, job layoff, 3 day power failure… something that affects you or a small area and you can reasonably expect to get through with relatively simple prep – or if you can’t, at least it’s only a few people who suffer. We all get Tuesday, I think.
Recovery is usually a few days and most of the problem is expense.
Disaster: something serious happens to a local area. An earthquake, major hurricane with flooding, or major chemical spill makes an area difficult or impossible to live in for a time. The government still functions and will be arriving shortly to organize and distribute aid. Lives will likely be lost – if not, it’s really more of an inconvenience we’re talking about – but people who are either prepared or can rely on government resources, can get through ok. This is not SHTF. There are resources available and even the non-prepared can get through if they can hang on for a few days while supplies and help roll in. A serious economic crash like the Great Depression could qualify as a disaster as well; it’s widespread, but people at least don’t often starve.
Recovery could be weeks to months, but everyone can see the light at the end of the tunnel and people remain, mostly, orderly.
SHTF: something catastrophic happens over a very wide area, like a country. The government still exists in some form, but might be unable to render assistance for months because it’s overwhelmed. About the only thing I can think of in this category is war, either an external invasion or a massive internal uprising. A more fantastic scenario is some sort of major economic collapse, far worse than a depression. Hyperinflation that literally makes it impossible to buy food could qualify. It’s possible, even likely, that things will recover… eventually. But major social changes will occur, lives will be lost in significant numbers, and the government might be replaced or radically redesigned. Note this isn’t Without Rule Of Law, or at least not for long. There’s still an attempt to keep order, fight off enemies, food can still be shipped, the grid might be intermittent but isn’t permanently crippled, etc. A CME event that was poorly handled might be in this category.
Recovery could be months to years, and the recovered society might look different, but for the most part, life will go on, more or less at the same technological level it was before, maybe after a huge repair effort. Society is chaotic, even violent, for a time, but people ultimately pull it back together.
Collapse: a large region’s infrastructure and government are destroyed. Things in this category would be extensive nuclear war, a world-beating pandemic, an asteroid strike, or climate change so severe that growing food becomes impossible. Law enforcement breaks down, societal norms get disrupted, and people begin starving in large numbers, because the systems needed to produce, process and distribute food before it spoils are broken, on a level of nations or larger. No one is coming to help, because communications are largely unavailable and authorities are either dead or powerless, and anyone who even knew what you needed has the same problems you do and has no resources to spare. Violence becomes endemic, and with no one to enforce law, it continues until the population is small enough to be supported by whatever primitive agriculture can be established – remember, no infrastructure means no power, no way to pump fuel, no harvestors or combines running, no way to ship food; everyone’s starving or living on farms with (at best) horses to plow. Warlords arise because they can at least offer protection, at least as log as the ammo supply holds up. Vast social ills, like epidemics, slavery, rape and murder return, at least until the population crashes hard enough to put an end to it.
Recovery isn’t a thing, or is generational at best. 50-90% of the population is likely dead. Such a nation might get invaded by neighbors and rebuilt by them, but if that doesn’t happen, people would literally have to recreate the last 200 years of technological progress, starting from iron axes and steam engines, and it’s a long climb, because a lot of people capable of working with high tech don’t make it.
__
The point of these definition is that when someone starts with “in the coming collapse” we can all stop reading and say “in the coming collapse, just about everyone dies and your question about battery operated radios is meaningless because the batteries can only be cycled so many times and you can’t get new ones post-collapse, plus you were shot for your solar panels anyway, so moot point; please see the Sticky for details.”
And we can talk about SHTF with some expectation that people are talking about preps that will last them until things get back to normal in a few years. And the Tuesday people can skip any post that mention SHTF or Collapse.
We could even have Flair for Tuesday, Disaster, SHTF and Collapse. I think that’s more useful than just Tuesday and Doomsday, because SHTF tends to be very vague and I never know how long the fecal matter clean up process is meant to take, so it’s hard to assess what preps make sense.
*Rod Sterling voice* Submitted for your consideration and approval, because I'm tired of this sub looking like something out of the Twilight Zone.
submitted by OnTheEdgeOfFreedom to preppers [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:17 Proletlariet Firebrand Backup

"Kyagh ki ka ka kiyah... Gyah ga kiyaga ki ki gi korh ge ge ge ki ga gyah kah. Gyah kita ki! Gyah ki taki fa ki geeh!" ("So, Arthur seeks to challenge the ruler of this realm... He will find that the Castle of Astaroth has a new lord as well as many powerful minions to fight on his command. My demon brethren! Destroy this human, and tonight, we dine on his bones!")
Among the armies of the Ghoul Realm, the Red Arremers are some of the most fearsome, but none more so than the one known as the Red Blaze, Firebrand. A descendant of the original Red Blaze (also called Firebrand), both he and his ancestor heeded the call when the King of Destruction swept his influence across the realm, fighting back against the darkness and chaos it wrought, both ultimately succeeding. After this, Firebrand sought further glory, searching across the land for the six Crests, each of which held great power and had the potential to grant anyone who gathered all six the ability to conquer the realm. He succeeded twice, being attacked while still greatly injured from succeeding the first time and needing to regather the Crests before his newfound enemy used them to gain Infinity, but soon after disposed of them. Realizing his true power came from himself, Firebrand set off once more, hoping to face even more worthy warriors to enter the glory of battle with.
As Firebrand is a name rather than a title of any kind, the majority of this RT will be taken up by what is assumed to be a the single main Firebrand, covering Gargoyle's Quest, Demon's Crest, and the two Marvel vs Capcom appearances which use the name. After will cover the noted unique Firebrand from Gargoyle's Quest 2, and following that general feats for Red Arremers where they do not receive a unique name.

Legend

Ghosts 'n Goblins
G - Ghosts 'n Goblins S - Super Ghouls 'n Ghosts U - Ultimate Ghosts 'n Goblins WS - Makaimura for Wonderswan
Gargoyle's Quest
GQ - Gargoyle's Quest GQII - Gargoyle's Quest 2 DC - Demon's Crest
Crossovers
SNK - SNK vs. Capcom: SVC Chaos NxC - Namco x Capcom MvC - Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 MvC:I - Marvel vs. Capcom Infinite WU - Worlds Unite
The tags from the crossover games will be bolded to help distinguish them, given they are not canon to any part of the original Ghosts 'n Goblins universe. This is not the case for the Worlds Unite comic arc, which will not be bolded.

Strength

Durability

Speed

Pyrokinesis

Crests

Six Crests with dominion over different elements and aspects of reality which fell from the heavens into the Demon Realm, sparking years of conflict as many tried to get their hands on it. At the start of Demon's Crest, Firebrand was attacked just after gaining all of them, spending the rest of the game reclaiming them, using each Crests to alter his abilities. He is capable of instantly swapping between their abilities on the fly, but can only be influenced by one at a time. At the end of the game, Firebrand realised his true power came from himself, and disposed of the Crests seemingly outside of the Demon RealmDC
Fire
Allowing the user to control fire,DC unlike the other Crests, the Fire Crest was split into 5 pieces after Firebrand was attacked. He retained one fragment throughout the game
Earth
Turns Firebrand into Ground Gargoyle, granting him great speed and strength at the cost of no longer being able to flyDC
Air
Turns Firebrand into Aerial Gargoyle, granting him control over the windDC
Water
Rules over the ocean, turning Firebrand into the Tidal Gargoyle and letting him swim within the seasDC
Time
Rules over the past and allows the user to travel back in time, turning Firebrand into a Legendary GargoyleDC
Heaven
A Crest of unclear power and abilities, though it's implied to be the strongest of the regular Crests, with Firebrand fighting whoever bears this Crest when he has all five others
Infinity
A unique Crest bearing unimaginable power that can be formed once all of the others are gathered in the same place for an extended period of time, even if they're not all being held by the same person (with this enemy only holding the Heaven Crest, Firebrand holding the others)DC

Spells

Across Demon's Crest, Firebrand collects pieces of parchment which he can pay a store to inscribe with single-use spells

Equipment

Other

Gargoyle's Quest 2 Firebrand

Physicals

Equipment

Abilities

Other

Other Red Arremers

Physicals

Abilities

Other

"Ruggagh gigh grigaugh... Gyah gyah gyah!" ("Tell the people of your world... Fear the Red Blaze!")
submitted by Proletlariet to u/Proletlariet [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:17 sthayashi My Financial Experience + Other observations

I just got back from a 10 day trip from 2023/03/20 to 2023/03/29 and I largely want to write my experience to answer questions past me had and to leave a reference for people dropping in via Google like I did last month.
I exclusively used a Capital One Quicksilver credit card and cash withdrawn from a 7-11 ATM using a Fidelity Cash Management account. Looking over my statements, I got the best deal with the credit card. An 8,000 yen charge on the 28th ended up being $60.52 or about 132 yen to the dollar.
When you withdraw money from the ATM, there are two buttons at the bottom of the screen: one to be charged in yen, the other in dollars (you get yen cash either way, but it's whether you want to use the ATM exchange rate or your bank's rate). I withdrew twice, once in yen and once in dollars, largely because I was in a rush and got confused.
The first, I chose dollars (the right button) and was charged $395.98 for 50,000 yen on the 21st. That's 126 yen to the dollar.
The second, I chose yen (the left button). I was charged $231.91 for 30,000 yen on the 26th or 129 yen to the dollar. YMMV with your bank. Fidelity refunds ATM fees, which is in part why I use them.
(I mention the dates so you can review whatever the "Official" rate was)
Other observations: I considered, but ultimately rejected getting a spinner suitcase in part because I know Japan is notoriously bad about accessibility. I shouldn't have worried. I saw tons of non-tourists using spinners everyday.
Be sure to keep a towel in your day trip bag. Many public restrooms did not have a form of hand drying and even more had shut down their hand dryers to stop the spread of COVID.
Keep a spare bag for trash or be prepared to hang onto it a while. Public trash cans seemed to be very rare.
Unless you're going to someplace fancy, eating out seems to be quite a bit cheaper than in the US. 4 random curries from CoCo Ichibanya worked out to be $31.
submitted by sthayashi to JapanTravel [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 03:11 bruh_the_realist is it easy to get spare parts?

I recently bought a used PO-33 ko, the tone knob is glitching out and its really loose. not to mention there's a crack on the screen, not exactly sure if that's even repairable but im assuming it is replaceable. is there a place im supposed to get these parts? the screen is cosmetics but the pot is of more importance. thanks in advance.
submitted by bruh_the_realist to po33ko [link] [comments]